Monthly Archives: January 2008

sizeof(crash(bubble2.0)) < sizeof(crash(bubble1.0))?

Posted on January 6, 2008 by payne

I strongly disagree with Greg Linden’s prediction for 2008: We will see a dot-com crash in 2008. It will be more prolonged and deeper than the crash of 2000. The crash will be driven by a recession and prolonged slow … Continue reading →

Posted in Ramblings | 1 Comment

“Naked DSL” — just give me a big fat, naked IP pipe, please

Posted on January 2, 2008 by payne

There have been several reports of AT&T’s “naked DSL” offering (i.e. DSL without the analog phone line), which apparently was condition to merge with BellSouth. Anyone who understands IP technology knows where this ends:   we’ll just have fat IP pipes … Continue reading →

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Recommended: OmniOutliner (Mac only), dedicated outline tool

Posted on January 2, 2008 by payne

Like many users, 99% of my app usage has settled into Firefox+Word+Excel+PowerPoint.  Most of the new “apps” that I use are Web-based. So, using a new app like OmniOutliner is a rare event, and adopting an entirely new category of … Continue reading →

Posted in Software | Leave a comment

The “2% rule” for retirement income

Posted on January 2, 2008 by payne

We went home for the holidays, and a long-time family friend was lamenting about his retirement.  He thought he had the necessary cash assets, but was having to work more than he expected.  I’ve also had a number of entrepreneur … Continue reading →

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Using Lightroom’s Export Actions for post-processing

Posted on January 1, 2008 by payne

(Photo geek alert) Adobe Lightroom’s export function lets you choose any post-processing application to run on the exported photos. You can automatically drop your exports into PhotoShop, upload them to Flicker, process them with a custom script, etc. Here are … Continue reading →

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Happy New Year!

Posted on January 1, 2008 by payne

Happy New Year to all three of my blog readers!  (…you know who you are) For today’s bit of esoteric knowledge, last night you may have noticed that we did not have a leap second adjustment this year.  It turns … Continue reading →

Posted in Ramblings | 3 Comments

Please get an attorney with startup financing experience

Posted on January 1, 2008 by payne

One of the biggest pieces of advice I give entrepreneurs: find an good attorney with experience in startup financing. Do not use your uncle’s friend who’s been doing family law for the past 30 years. Your investors will have great … Continue reading →

Posted in Entrepreneurship | 1 Comment